“Future directions for scenario and foresight practice amid 21st century complexity and uncertainty” | László Pintér

Scenarios remain the most established and accessible means for engaging with future complexity and uncertainty, and processes of envisioning and strategizing toward desirable futures are considered important for motivating and navigating transformative change. Here, we propose that harnessing the ongoing potential impact and relevance of scenarios requires greater attention to three future directions for scenario research and practice: 1) leveraging the use of scenarios as representations of social-ecological uncertainty and complexity, 2) viewing the scenario development process as a site of social learning, not simply a means to an end, and 3) ensuring scenario practice enhances futures literacy by reflecting more critically on the inherent ambiguity and openness of the future.